Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-08-30, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4.6 shows)
Sand (11, 4.6 shows)
Everything's Right (10, 5 shows)
Ruby Waves (10, 6 shows)
Character Zero (10, 5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.5 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 5.5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (9, 6 shows)
First Tube (9, 6 shows)
Twist (9, 6.7 shows)
Free (9, 5.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 6.7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 6 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 6.7 shows)
Tube (8, 6.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 6.7 shows)
Life Saving Gun (7, 7.5 shows)
Piper (7, 7.5 shows)
Light (7, 6.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 7.5 shows)
Possum (7, 6.7 shows)
More (7, 6.7 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (7, 7.5 shows)
Taste (6, 10 shows)
Reba (6, 10 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.6 shows)
Cavern (6, 10 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 8.6 shows)
Hey Stranger (6, 8.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 7.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 8.6 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 10 shows)
My Soul (5, 12 shows)
Roggae (5, 12 shows)
Gumbo (5, 12 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 59% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.