Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-08-29, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 4.7 shows)
Sand (11, 4.7 shows)
Everything's Right (10, 5.1 shows)
A Wave of Hope (10, 5.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.5 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 5.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 6.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 6.8 shows)
Light (8, 6.1 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 6.1 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (8, 6.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 7.6 shows)
Piper (7, 7.6 shows)
Ether Edge (7, 7.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 7.6 shows)
Possum (7, 6.8 shows)
Life Saving Gun (7, 7.6 shows)
More (7, 6.8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 8.7 shows)
Hey Stranger (6, 8.7 shows)
Taste (6, 10.2 shows)
Cavern (6, 10.2 shows)
My Soul (5, 12.2 shows)
Wilson (5, 12.2 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (5, 10.2 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (5, 12.2 shows)
The Howling (5, 8.7 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (5, 10.2 shows)
Gumbo (5, 12.2 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 12.2 shows)
About to Run (5, 12.2 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 12.2 shows)
Roggae (5, 12.2 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 10.2 shows)
Mull (4, 20.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 19% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.