Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-08-31, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
46 Days (11, 4.9 shows)
Tweezer (11, 5.4 shows)
Character Zero (10, 4.9 shows)
Twist (9, 6.6 shows)
Free (9, 5.4 shows)
First Tube (9, 5.9 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 5.4 shows)
Oblivion (9, 5.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (8, 5.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 5.9 shows)
Carini (8, 5.9 shows)
Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Life Saving Gun (7, 7.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 7.4 shows)
Piper (7, 7.4 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (7, 7.4 shows)
Light (7, 6.6 shows)
More (7, 6.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 6.6 shows)
Cavern (6, 9.8 shows)
Reba (6, 9.8 shows)
Taste (6, 9.8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 7.4 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 9.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (6, 8.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 9.8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 8.4 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (6, 8.4 shows)
About to Run (5, 11.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.8 shows)
Fluffhead (5, 9.8 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.8 shows)
The Howling (5, 8.4 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 9.8 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 11.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.