Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-09-03, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Down with Disease (8, 5.5 shows)
Piper (8, 6.5 shows)
Possum (7, 5.3 shows)
46 Days (7, 4.8 shows)
Petrichor (7, 25.2 shows)
Light (7, 6.5 shows)
Your Pet Cat (6, 23.5 shows)
Bathtub Gin (6, 5.3 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 15.3 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 19.6 shows)
Stash (6, 6.9 shows)
Maze (6, 7.5 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 18.6 shows)
Ass Handed (6, 23.5 shows)
Mercury (6, 8.8 shows)
Twist (6, 5.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (5, 5.7 shows)
Meatstick (5, 15.3 shows)
My Soul (5, 16 shows)
Poor Heart (5, 25.2 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (5, 16.8 shows)
Cities (5, 13.1 shows)
Julius (5, 12.6 shows)
The Wedge (5, 8.4 shows)
Waking Up Dead (5, 50.4 shows)
Things People Do (5, 50.4 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.5 shows)
Tweezer (5, 5.8 shows)
Ocelot (5, 12.2 shows)
Rocky Top (5, 32.1 shows)
Home (4, 50.4 shows)
Horn (4, 22.1 shows)
I Always Wanted It This Way (4, 15.3 shows)
Miss You (4, 19.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 50% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.