Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-09-02, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Down with Disease (9, 5.4 shows)
Fuego (9, 6.1 shows)
Piper (8, 6.6 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 4.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.3 shows)
46 Days (7, 4.8 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
Sand (7, 4.7 shows)
Twist (7, 5.4 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 7.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.4 shows)
Possum (7, 5.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.7 shows)
Your Pet Cat (6, 23.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.6 shows)
Martian Monster (6, 10.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.2 shows)
Mercury (6, 8.9 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 19.7 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 15.4 shows)
Ass Handed (6, 23.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (6, 5.3 shows)
Stash (6, 6.9 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 18.6 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9.3 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 10.1 shows)
Julius (5, 12.6 shows)
Steam (5, 7.5 shows)
Poor Heart (5, 25.3 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 10.1 shows)
Cities (5, 13.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 6.2 shows)
Mike's Song (5, 6.7 shows)
My Soul (5, 16.1 shows)
Things People Do (5, 50.6 shows)
Waking Up Dead (5, 50.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 63% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.