Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-12-28, Madison Square Garden were:
Lawn Boy (5, 17.8 shows)
Ocelot (4, 12.1 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 13.5 shows)
Your Pet Cat (4, 26 shows)
Rocky Top (4, 33.8 shows)
Twenty Years Later (4, 16.1 shows)
Funky Bitch (3, 9.7 shows)
Horn (3, 22.5 shows)
Mercury (3, 9.1 shows)
Julius (3, 13 shows)
Undermind (3, 12.1 shows)
Cities (3, 13.5 shows)
The Line (3, 56.3 shows)
Things People Do (3, 67.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (3, 8.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.2 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (3, 21.1 shows)
Tweezer (3, 5.7 shows)
NICU (3, 13 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (3, 16.1 shows)
Poor Heart (3, 28.2 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 5.7 shows)
Loving Cup (3, 13 shows)
Bug (3, 10.6 shows)
My Soul (3, 16.9 shows)
Divided Sky (3, 10.2 shows)
Peaches en Regalia (3, 48.3 shows)
Twist (3, 5.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 11.7 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (3, 17.8 shows)
Wilson (3, 8.7 shows)
Brian and Robert (2, 28.2 shows)
Gumbo (2, 13 shows)
Rock and Roll (2, 21.1 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (2, 8.5 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (2, 16.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 18% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.