Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2017-09-01, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Harry Hood (9, 4.7 shows)
Blaze On (9, 4.6 shows)
Fuego (9, 6.1 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 5.5 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (8, 4.7 shows)
Piper (8, 6.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.3 shows)
46 Days (8, 4.7 shows)
Mercury (7, 8.7 shows)
Possum (7, 5.4 shows)
Character Zero (7, 5.3 shows)
More (7, 6.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 5.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.6 shows)
Maze (7, 7.4 shows)
Tube (7, 5.5 shows)
Carini (7, 5.1 shows)
Ass Handed (7, 22.2 shows)
Stash (7, 6.8 shows)
Sand (7, 4.7 shows)
Twist (7, 5.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.7 shows)
Breath and Burning (7, 29.6 shows)
Roggae (6, 10.1 shows)
Tweezer (6, 5.7 shows)
555 (6, 9.9 shows)
The Wedge (6, 8.3 shows)
Twenty Years Later (6, 15.4 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (6, 5.6 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (6, 18.7 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 9.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (6, 5.2 shows)
Free (6, 5.1 shows)
Wingsuit (6, 19.7 shows)
Martian Monster (6, 10.1 shows)
Bathtub Gin (6, 5.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 69% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.