Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-09-03, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6.4 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 6.9 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (7, 13.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.3 shows)
Sand (6, 4.9 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 8.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.5 shows)
Piper (5, 6.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 7 shows)
Roggae (5, 10 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (5, 14.3 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 18.6 shows)
Julius (5, 12.4 shows)
Horn (5, 19.5 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.4 shows)
Rift (5, 9.8 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 14.8 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 10.3 shows)
Farmhouse (5, 12.8 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 30.9 shows)
What's the Use? (4, 8.1 shows)
Golden Age (4, 7.9 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 10.6 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.2 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10 shows)
Reba (4, 9.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.6 shows)
Waiting All Night (4, 37.1 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.5 shows)
Cities (4, 13.3 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (4, 16.9 shows)
Silent in the Morning (3, 23.2 shows)
Your Pet Cat (3, 20.6 shows)
Scent of a Mule (3, 33.7 shows)
The Landlady (3, 41.2 shows)
Sleeping Monkey (3, 28.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.