Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-09-04, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Free (8, 5.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 7.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6.4 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (7, 13.7 shows)
Character Zero (7, 5.4 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 6.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.4 shows)
Tube (6, 5.4 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 8.4 shows)
Walls of the Cave (5, 10.3 shows)
Wingsuit (5, 16.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.4 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 14.8 shows)
Rift (5, 9.7 shows)
Wilson (5, 9.3 shows)
Piper (5, 6.7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.5 shows)
Julius (5, 12.3 shows)
Yarmouth Road (5, 30.8 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.4 shows)
Horn (5, 19.5 shows)
Golden Age (4, 7.9 shows)
Waiting All Night (4, 37 shows)
Roggae (4, 10.3 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.2 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10 shows)
Space Oddity (4, 52.9 shows)
It's Ice (4, 19.5 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.6 shows)
Reba (4, 9.7 shows)
Cities (4, 13.2 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (4, 14.8 shows)
The Dogs (3, 30.8 shows)
Silent in the Morning (3, 23.1 shows)
The Horse (3, 24.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.