Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2016-09-02, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Weekapaug Groove (8, 6.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 6.5 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 6.9 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (7, 5.2 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (7, 13.8 shows)
Yarmouth Road (6, 28.6 shows)
Horn (6, 18.6 shows)
The Wedge (6, 7.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 5.6 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.3 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 8.5 shows)
Sand (6, 4.9 shows)
A Song I Heard the Ocean Sing (5, 14.3 shows)
Waiting All Night (5, 33.8 shows)
Golden Age (5, 7.8 shows)
Back on the Train (5, 6.4 shows)
Stash (5, 7.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (5, 7 shows)
Rift (5, 9.8 shows)
Heavy Things (5, 18.6 shows)
Roggae (5, 10.1 shows)
Rock and Roll (5, 18.6 shows)
Saw It Again (5, 14.9 shows)
Julius (5, 12.4 shows)
Breath and Burning (5, 21.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.7 shows)
David Bowie (4, 10.1 shows)
What's the Use? (4, 8.1 shows)
Undermind (4, 11.6 shows)
Lawn Boy (4, 15.5 shows)
Cavern (4, 8.3 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 10.6 shows)
Stealing Time From the Faulty Plan (4, 16.9 shows)
Cities (4, 13.3 shows)
Hold Your Head Up (4, 46.5 shows)
Wading in the Velvet Sea (4, 14.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.