Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-12-29, Madison Square Garden were:
Tweezer (10, 6 shows)
Sand (9, 5.4 shows)
Ghost (9, 5.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 5.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6 shows)
Carini (8, 6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 6.8 shows)
First Tube (8, 6 shows)
Light (7, 7.7 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 6.8 shows)
Evolve (7, 6.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 6.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.7 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (6, 7.7 shows)
Steam (6, 9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 7.7 shows)
Pillow Jets (6, 7.7 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 7.7 shows)
Life Saving Gun (6, 7.7 shows)
Maze (6, 7.7 shows)
Hey Stranger (6, 7.7 shows)
Ether Edge (6, 9 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 9 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (5, 9 shows)
Piper (5, 9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 10.8 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 10.8 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (4, 13.5 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 10.8 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (4, 13.5 shows)
The Howling (4, 13.5 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 10.8 shows)
Rift (4, 10.8 shows)
Taste (4, 10.8 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 10.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.