Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-12-28, Madison Square Garden were:
First Tube (8, 5.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 5.5 shows)
46 Days (8, 5.5 shows)
A Wave of Hope (7, 6.9 shows)
Oblivion (7, 6.1 shows)
Life Saving Gun (7, 6.9 shows)
Twist (7, 6.1 shows)
Evolve (7, 6.1 shows)
Maze (6, 6.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 7.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 7.9 shows)
Ether Edge (6, 9.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 6.9 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 6.9 shows)
Hey Stranger (6, 7.9 shows)
Pillow Jets (6, 7.9 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (5, 9.2 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 7.9 shows)
Crosseyed and Painless (5, 9.2 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (5, 7.9 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (4, 11 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 11 shows)
Taste (4, 9.2 shows)
Reba (4, 9.2 shows)
David Bowie (4, 11 shows)
Simple (4, 11 shows)
Cavern (4, 9.2 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 9.2 shows)
Rift (4, 11 shows)
Undermind (4, 13.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (4, 9.2 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (4, 11 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 11 shows)
Gumbo (3, 13.8 shows)
Loving Cup (3, 18.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 23-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.