Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-07-27, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Harry Hood (10, 5.3 shows)
Tweezer (10, 6.3 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5.3 shows)
Sand (9, 5.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (9, 6.3 shows)
Twist (8, 6.7 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 7.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.9 shows)
Character Zero (8, 5.9 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.7 shows)
Oblivion (8, 6.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 7.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 6.3 shows)
Tube (7, 7.2 shows)
Sigma Oasis (7, 6.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 6.7 shows)
Free (7, 6.7 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.7 shows)
Possum (6, 6.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.7 shows)
Life Saving Gun (6, 9.2 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (6, 7.2 shows)
Light (6, 7.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 9.2 shows)
Ether Edge (5, 11.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 8.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (5, 9.2 shows)
Roggae (5, 12.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 9.2 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (5, 12.6 shows)
The Howling (5, 11.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 10.1 shows)
David Bowie (5, 11.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 9.2 shows)
Wilson (5, 14.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (4, 12.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 39% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.