Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-07-28, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Harry Hood (10, 4.5 shows)
Tweezer (10, 5.2 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 4.9 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 4.5 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.2 shows)
Twist (8, 6.2 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.2 shows)
Evolve (8, 5.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 5.2 shows)
Tube (7, 6.2 shows)
Ruby Waves (7, 6.2 shows)
Free (7, 5.7 shows)
Oblivion (7, 6.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 6.2 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (7, 5.7 shows)
Golden Age (7, 6.2 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (7, 6.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 5.7 shows)
Carini (7, 5.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 5.7 shows)
Life Saving Gun (6, 7.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (6, 6.2 shows)
Light (6, 6.2 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 6.2 shows)
Piper (6, 7.6 shows)
Possum (6, 6.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 7.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 7.6 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (5, 9.7 shows)
Wilson (5, 11.3 shows)
About to Run (5, 11.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 8.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 7.6 shows)
Ether Edge (5, 8.5 shows)
Roggae (5, 11.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 8.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 63% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.