Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-07-26, Alpine Valley Music Theatre were:
Harry Hood (10, 5.4 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5.4 shows)
Ghost (9, 5.4 shows)
Sand (9, 5.4 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (9, 6.4 shows)
Stash (8, 6 shows)
Character Zero (8, 6 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 6.4 shows)
46 Days (8, 6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.8 shows)
Oblivion (8, 6.8 shows)
The Moma Dance (7, 6.4 shows)
Sigma Oasis (7, 6.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.5 shows)
Back on the Train (7, 6.8 shows)
Tube (7, 7.3 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 7.3 shows)
Light (6, 7.3 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (6, 7.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 9.3 shows)
David Bowie (5, 11.3 shows)
The Howling (5, 11.3 shows)
Ether Edge (5, 11.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (5, 8.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (5, 12.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 9.3 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (5, 10.2 shows)
Simple (5, 10.2 shows)
Cavern (5, 10.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 10.2 shows)
Roggae (5, 12.8 shows)
Taste (5, 10.2 shows)
Llama (4, 12.8 shows)
My Soul (4, 14.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.