Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-02-22, Moon Palace were:
Harry Hood (12, 5.3 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (12, 5 shows)
Blaze On (11, 5.7 shows)
Ghost (11, 5.3 shows)
A Wave of Hope (11, 6.3 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (10, 6.6 shows)
46 Days (10, 5.7 shows)
Free (9, 6.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.4 shows)
Oblivion (8, 7 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 9 shows)
Maze (8, 7.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 7 shows)
Evolve (8, 6.6 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 11.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 11.5 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.4 shows)
About to Run (7, 12.6 shows)
Simple (7, 9.7 shows)
Light (7, 7.4 shows)
The Howling (6, 11.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 8.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 12.6 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 11.5 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 9.7 shows)
Steam (6, 10.5 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (6, 10.5 shows)
Mull (6, 14 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.5 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9 shows)
Roggae (6, 11.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 9.7 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.6 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.