Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-02-21, Moon Palace were:
Ghost (11, 5.5 shows)
Blaze On (11, 6 shows)
A Wave of Hope (11, 6.3 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (10, 7 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (8, 9 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.3 shows)
Sample in a Jar (7, 11.5 shows)
Simple (7, 9.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.9 shows)
Light (7, 7.9 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 11.5 shows)
Steam (6, 10.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 12.6 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 11.5 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 9.7 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.7 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 9.7 shows)
Mull (6, 14 shows)
Roggae (6, 11.5 shows)
The Howling (6, 12.6 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 14 shows)
Funky Bitch (5, 15.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 18 shows)
Shade (4, 18 shows)
Martian Monster (4, 18 shows)
Leaves (4, 21 shows)
555 (4, 21 shows)
Bug (4, 12.6 shows)
Plasma (4, 14 shows)
Rift (4, 14 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 21 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 0% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.