Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2024-02-23, Moon Palace were:
Chalk Dust Torture (12, 5 shows)
Ghost (11, 5.2 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 5.4 shows)
Blaze On (10, 6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.7 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (10, 6.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 6.3 shows)
Sigma Oasis (9, 6.3 shows)
46 Days (9, 6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 6.6 shows)
Evolve (8, 6.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.3 shows)
Twist (8, 6.9 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.3 shows)
David Bowie (8, 9.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 6.9 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.6 shows)
Maze (8, 7.4 shows)
Piper (8, 7.4 shows)
Golden Age (8, 6.9 shows)
Fuego (8, 6.9 shows)
Light (7, 7.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 9.6 shows)
About to Run (7, 12.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 11.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.4 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 7.4 shows)
Simple (7, 9.6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.8 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9.6 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.4 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.5 shows)
Steam (6, 10.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 9.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 12.5 shows)
Sample in a Jar (6, 12.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.