Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-12-31, Madison Square Garden were:
Everything's Right (9, 5.7 shows)
Possum (8, 6.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.4 shows)
Tube (8, 6.6 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 6.3 shows)
Character Zero (8, 6 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 6.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.4 shows)
Light (7, 7.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.4 shows)
First Tube (7, 7 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.5 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 12.6 shows)
Steam (6, 10.5 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 7.9 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.6 shows)
Mull (6, 14 shows)
Roggae (6, 11.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 7 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 11.5 shows)
Taste (5, 10.5 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 14 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 11.5 shows)
Cavern (5, 10.5 shows)
Reba (5, 10.5 shows)
Wilson (5, 14 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 18 shows)
Shade (4, 18 shows)
Leaves (4, 21 shows)
555 (4, 18 shows)
Martian Monster (4, 15.8 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 18 shows)
Timber (Jerry the Mule) (4, 15.8 shows)
Plasma (4, 14 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 21 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 57% of the actual 30-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.