Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-12-30, Madison Square Garden were:
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.8 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.9 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.7 shows)
Character Zero (8, 6 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 6.7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 6.4 shows)
Light (8, 7.1 shows)
Twist (8, 6.7 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 6.4 shows)
Sigma Oasis (8, 6.4 shows)
Tube (8, 6.7 shows)
Possum (8, 6.4 shows)
Piper (8, 7.1 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (7, 10.6 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (7, 7.5 shows)
Fuego (7, 7.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.5 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.1 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 7.5 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.7 shows)
Roggae (6, 11.5 shows)
Wilson (6, 12.7 shows)
Fluffhead (6, 10.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.5 shows)
Mull (6, 14.1 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 12.7 shows)
Steam (6, 10.6 shows)
Cavern (6, 9.8 shows)
Reba (5, 10.6 shows)
AC/DC Bag (5, 11.5 shows)
Shade (5, 15.9 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 14.1 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 18.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.