Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-12-29, Madison Square Garden were:
Harry Hood (11, 5.3 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 5.8 shows)
Sand (10, 5.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 6.1 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 6.1 shows)
Back on the Train (9, 6.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 8 shows)
Free (8, 6.4 shows)
Sigma Oasis (8, 6.4 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 6.4 shows)
Light (8, 7.1 shows)
Possum (8, 6.4 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 6.7 shows)
Golden Age (8, 6.7 shows)
Piper (8, 7.1 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.7 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.4 shows)
Twist (8, 6.7 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (7, 10.7 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.5 shows)
Carini (7, 6.4 shows)
Maze (7, 7.5 shows)
Fuego (7, 7.1 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.8 shows)
About to Run (6, 12.8 shows)
Wilson (6, 12.8 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (6, 7.5 shows)
Reba (6, 9.8 shows)
Mull (6, 14.2 shows)
Roggae (6, 11.6 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (6, 12.8 shows)
Steam (6, 10.7 shows)
Shade (5, 16 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 14.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.