Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-12-28, Madison Square Garden were:
Back on the Train (10, 5.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 6.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (10, 6.5 shows)
Ruby Waves (9, 6.5 shows)
Possum (9, 6.5 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 6.1 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 8.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 6.1 shows)
Twist (8, 7.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.1 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.8 shows)
Free (8, 6.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.5 shows)
Piper (8, 7.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 6.8 shows)
Golden Age (8, 6.8 shows)
Sigma Oasis (8, 6.5 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (8, 6.8 shows)
Maze (7, 7.6 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 7.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 8.6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.6 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (7, 10.8 shows)
Fuego (7, 7.6 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9.2 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (7, 9.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (6, 9.2 shows)
Steam (6, 10.8 shows)
Roggae (6, 11.7 shows)
Wilson (6, 12.9 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.9 shows)
Mull (6, 14.3 shows)
The Howling (6, 11.7 shows)
Reba (6, 9.9 shows)
About to Run (6, 14.3 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 10.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.