Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-08-05, Madison Square Garden were:
Back on the Train (10, 6.3 shows)
Tweezer (9, 6.9 shows)
Tube (9, 6.9 shows)
A Wave of Hope (9, 6.6 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 7.2 shows)
Free (8, 6.6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.6 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.9 shows)
Down with Disease (8, 6.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 7.2 shows)
Stash (8, 6.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 6.9 shows)
Sigma Oasis (8, 6.6 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.9 shows)
Everything's Right (7, 6 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (7, 10.1 shows)
Simple (7, 9.4 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.9 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 5.8 shows)
Maze (6, 7.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.9 shows)
Steam (6, 10.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 7.2 shows)
Fuego (6, 7.6 shows)
Light (6, 7.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (5, 18.9 shows)
Waste (5, 16.8 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (5, 15.1 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (5, 13.7 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (5, 15.1 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 11.6 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 9.4 shows)
Leaves (5, 18.9 shows)
Divided Sky (4, 13.7 shows)
More (4, 9.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 65% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.