Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-08-25, Broadview Stage at SPAC were:
Back on the Train (9, 6.3 shows)
Ghost (9, 5.6 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 6.9 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 6.6 shows)
Tube (8, 6.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.6 shows)
David Bowie (7, 9.7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (7, 6.6 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 6.9 shows)
Twist (7, 6.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 8.5 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (7, 6.6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (7, 7.3 shows)
Sigma Oasis (7, 6.6 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (7, 6.9 shows)
Free (7, 6.6 shows)
Character Zero (7, 6.3 shows)
Stash (7, 6.3 shows)
First Tube (6, 7.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.5 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 6.9 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.6 shows)
Simple (5, 10.4 shows)
Reba (5, 10.4 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 13.2 shows)
Shade (5, 18.1 shows)
Light (5, 8.1 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.7 shows)
Bug (4, 13.2 shows)
Waste (4, 18.1 shows)
Wilson (4, 14.5 shows)
Lonely Trip (4, 12.1 shows)
Leaves (4, 20.7 shows)
Plasma (4, 14.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 27% of the actual 22-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.