Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-08-01, Madison Square Garden were:
Blaze On (12, 5.7 shows)
Ghost (10, 5.5 shows)
Tweezer (9, 7 shows)
46 Days (9, 5.9 shows)
The Moma Dance (9, 6.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (9, 5.5 shows)
Possum (9, 6.4 shows)
Twist (8, 6.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6.2 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (8, 8.1 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 5.7 shows)
Sand (8, 5.7 shows)
Everything's Right (8, 5.9 shows)
David Bowie (8, 9.1 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.6 shows)
Carini (7, 6.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 7.3 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 9.6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 8.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 9.6 shows)
Character Zero (7, 6.4 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (7, 10.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 7 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (6, 14 shows)
Steam (6, 11 shows)
Halley's Comet (6, 11 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 10.3 shows)
Maze (6, 8.1 shows)
Piper (6, 8.1 shows)
Reba (6, 9.6 shows)
Shade (6, 15.4 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.7 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 7.3 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (6, 8.1 shows)
Leaves (5, 19.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.