Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-07-26, TD Pavilion at the Mann were:
Sigma Oasis (9, 6.3 shows)
A Wave of Hope (9, 6.6 shows)
The Moma Dance (9, 6.1 shows)
Stash (9, 6.1 shows)
Ruby Waves (9, 6.9 shows)
David Bowie (8, 9.3 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (8, 8.3 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.9 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (8, 7.2 shows)
Character Zero (8, 6.3 shows)
Harry Hood (7, 5.9 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (7, 9.9 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 10.5 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 9.3 shows)
Carini (7, 6.6 shows)
Simple (7, 9.3 shows)
The Howling (6, 10.5 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (6, 14.4 shows)
Light (6, 7.9 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.5 shows)
Reba (6, 9.9 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.9 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (6, 8.3 shows)
Maze (6, 8.3 shows)
Shade (6, 15.8 shows)
Fuego (6, 7.5 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 9.3 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (5, 8.3 shows)
Wilson (5, 13.2 shows)
Leaves (5, 19.8 shows)
Prince Caspian (5, 9.3 shows)
Cavern (4, 11.3 shows)
Halfway to the Moon (4, 19.8 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 55% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.