Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-07-28, Madison Square Garden were:
Ghost (11, 5.4 shows)
Stash (9, 6 shows)
Ruby Waves (9, 6.8 shows)
Tube (9, 6.8 shows)
Sand (9, 5.6 shows)
A Wave of Hope (9, 6.5 shows)
Sigma Oasis (9, 6.3 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.8 shows)
Twist (8, 6.8 shows)
Everything's Right (8, 6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (8, 8.3 shows)
David Bowie (8, 9.2 shows)
Character Zero (8, 6.3 shows)
First Tube (8, 6.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.5 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 10.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (7, 7.5 shows)
Simple (7, 9.2 shows)
Shade (6, 15.7 shows)
Reba (6, 9.8 shows)
Maze (6, 8.3 shows)
Light (6, 7.9 shows)
The Howling (6, 10.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (6, 8.7 shows)
Fuego (6, 7.5 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (6, 14.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 13.1 shows)
Wilson (5, 13.1 shows)
Leaves (5, 19.6 shows)
Cavern (4, 11.2 shows)
Alumni Blues (4, 78.5 shows)
Bug (4, 13.1 shows)
Esther (4, 26.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.8 shows)
The Wedge (4, 14.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 33% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.