Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-07-11, Orion Amphitheater were:
Tweezer (12, 7 shows)
Free (9, 6.2 shows)
Sand (9, 5.6 shows)
Character Zero (8, 6.2 shows)
Stash (8, 6.2 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 7 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (8, 9.3 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (8, 6.7 shows)
46 Days (8, 6 shows)
Carini (8, 6.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.4 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 9.3 shows)
Simple (7, 9.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 8.8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 8 shows)
Steam (7, 10.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 10.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 9.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 7.3 shows)
Maze (6, 8 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.6 shows)
The Howling (6, 10.4 shows)
Piper (6, 8 shows)
Reba (6, 9.8 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 9.8 shows)
Light (6, 8 shows)
Waste (6, 15.2 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (5, 7.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.8 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.6 shows)
The Wedge (5, 12.8 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 16.7 shows)
Plasma (5, 12.8 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (4, 23.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 24% of the actual 21-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.