Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-04-23, Hollywood Bowl were:
Tweezer (13, 7 shows)
Sand (12, 5.5 shows)
Free (11, 6 shows)
Possum (10, 6.3 shows)
Carini (9, 6.5 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 7 shows)
Character Zero (9, 6.3 shows)
Stash (9, 6.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (9, 7 shows)
Tube (9, 6.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 8.8 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (9, 6.7 shows)
Steam (8, 10.3 shows)
Ruby Waves (8, 7 shows)
Simple (8, 9.2 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 9.2 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (8, 7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (8, 8 shows)
Maze (8, 7.6 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (7, 9.7 shows)
Light (7, 8 shows)
Reba (7, 9.7 shows)
Golden Age (7, 7.6 shows)
The Howling (7, 10.3 shows)
Piper (7, 8 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 25 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (6, 9.7 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (6, 7.3 shows)
Plasma (6, 12.5 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.5 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.7 shows)
Lonely Trip (5, 11.7 shows)
NICU (5, 15.9 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 15.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 31% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.