Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-07-12, Orion Amphitheater were:
Tweezer (12, 7 shows)
Sigma Oasis (10, 6.2 shows)
Free (9, 6.2 shows)
A Wave of Hope (9, 6.4 shows)
Sand (9, 5.6 shows)
Stash (8, 6.2 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (8, 9.3 shows)
Everything's Right (8, 6 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 7 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.4 shows)
Carini (8, 6.4 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (7, 9.3 shows)
Simple (7, 9.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (7, 8.8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 8 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.3 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (7, 7 shows)
Steam (7, 10.4 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.6 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (6, 13.9 shows)
Waste (6, 15.2 shows)
The Howling (6, 10.4 shows)
Light (6, 8 shows)
Piper (6, 8 shows)
Reba (6, 9.8 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 9.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (6, 7.3 shows)
Shade (6, 15.2 shows)
Mike's Song (6, 9.3 shows)
Plasma (5, 12.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.8 shows)
Sample in a Jar (5, 12.8 shows)
The Wedge (5, 12.8 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.6 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (5, 7.3 shows)
Loving Cup (5, 16.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.