Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-02-25, Moon Palace were:
Sigma Oasis (11, 5.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 6.3 shows)
Simple (9, 8.1 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (9, 6.3 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.5 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 6.1 shows)
Possum (9, 5.9 shows)
Tube (8, 6.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.7 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.5 shows)
Maze (7, 7.1 shows)
Reba (7, 8.9 shows)
The Howling (7, 9.4 shows)
Lonely Trip (6, 10 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.1 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (6, 6.8 shows)
Plasma (6, 11.3 shows)
Steam (6, 10 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 13.1 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.1 shows)
David Bowie (6, 8.9 shows)
Leaves (5, 15.5 shows)
NICU (5, 15.5 shows)
More (5, 8.9 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 10.6 shows)
The Wedge (5, 11.3 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 24.3 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.4 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (4, 10.6 shows)
If I Could (4, 21.3 shows)
Gumbo (4, 14.2 shows)
Martian Monster (4, 15.5 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 14.2 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (4, 8.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 13.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 45% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.