Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-02-26, Moon Palace were:
Tweezer (14, 6.5 shows)
Ghost (11, 5.1 shows)
Sigma Oasis (11, 5.6 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (9, 8.5 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (9, 8 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.5 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 7.7 shows)
Carini (9, 6 shows)
Possum (9, 5.8 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (9, 6.5 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 8 shows)
Tube (8, 6.3 shows)
Simple (8, 8.5 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.5 shows)
The Howling (7, 9.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (7, 6.8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (7, 5.8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (7, 7.3 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.3 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 12.1 shows)
Reba (7, 8.9 shows)
Wilson (6, 11.3 shows)
Plasma (6, 11.3 shows)
Lonely Trip (6, 9.9 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 13 shows)
David Bowie (6, 8.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8 shows)
Kill Devil Falls (5, 7 shows)
Divided Sky (5, 12.1 shows)
Leaves (5, 15.4 shows)
NICU (5, 15.4 shows)
More (5, 8.9 shows)
Rift (5, 11.3 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 10.6 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (5, 15.4 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 72% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.