Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-02-24, Moon Palace were:
Sigma Oasis (11, 5.7 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 6.3 shows)
A Wave of Hope (9, 5.9 shows)
Character Zero (9, 5.9 shows)
Possum (9, 5.9 shows)
Everything's Right (9, 5.5 shows)
Simple (9, 8.1 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.7 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (8, 6.1 shows)
Stash (8, 5.9 shows)
Tube (8, 6.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 7.8 shows)
Maze (7, 7.1 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.4 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 13.2 shows)
Lonely Trip (6, 10.1 shows)
Plasma (6, 11.4 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 9 shows)
Ruby Waves (6, 6.8 shows)
Steam (6, 10.1 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (6, 8.1 shows)
NICU (5, 15.5 shows)
The Wedge (5, 11.4 shows)
More (5, 9 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.4 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 10.7 shows)
Leaves (5, 15.5 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 24.4 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 14.3 shows)
Walls of the Cave (4, 15.5 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 13.2 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (4, 10.7 shows)
Gumbo (4, 14.3 shows)
Esther (4, 21.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 41% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.