Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2023-02-23, Moon Palace were:
Sigma Oasis (12, 5.5 shows)
Free (11, 5.5 shows)
46 Days (9, 5.5 shows)
Simple (9, 8.2 shows)
Twist (9, 6.1 shows)
A Wave of Hope (9, 5.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 5.7 shows)
Stash (8, 5.9 shows)
Harry Hood (8, 5.4 shows)
Maze (7, 7.2 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 7.8 shows)
Plasma (6, 11.5 shows)
Steam (6, 10.1 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.5 shows)
Soul Planet (6, 21.5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (6, 13.2 shows)
Axilla (Part II) (6, 9.1 shows)
More (5, 9.1 shows)
The Wedge (5, 11.5 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 10.8 shows)
Fuego (5, 7.5 shows)
NICU (5, 15.6 shows)
Leaves (5, 15.6 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (5, 19.1 shows)
555 (4, 15.6 shows)
About to Run (4, 12.3 shows)
Martian Monster (4, 15.6 shows)
Loving Cup (4, 15.6 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 14.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.6 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (4, 13.2 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 14.3 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (4, 10.8 shows)
Gumbo (4, 14.3 shows)
The Lizards (4, 21.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 43% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.