Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-09-03, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Sigma Oasis (16, 5.2 shows)
Free (13, 5.5 shows)
Simple (12, 8 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 5.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (11, 8 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (11, 6.2 shows)
Character Zero (9, 6.2 shows)
Lonely Trip (9, 9.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (9, 7.4 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.7 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.4 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (8, 7.4 shows)
Maze (8, 7.4 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 11.3 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 8.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.3 shows)
Steam (7, 10.1 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9.6 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 13.7 shows)
Cavern (7, 9.6 shows)
Stash (7, 6.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.7 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 9.1 shows)
Plasma (7, 11.3 shows)
Mercury (6, 13.7 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.7 shows)
The Lizards (6, 19.2 shows)
More (6, 9.1 shows)
David Bowie (6, 9.1 shows)
Wilson (6, 12 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (6, 19.2 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 14.8 shows)
555 (6, 14.8 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 13.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.