Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-09-02, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Sigma Oasis (16, 5.2 shows)
Tweezer (15, 6.7 shows)
Ghost (14, 4.9 shows)
Free (13, 5.5 shows)
The Moma Dance (12, 5.5 shows)
Simple (12, 8 shows)
Carini (12, 5.8 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (11, 8 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 5.2 shows)
Tube (11, 6 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (11, 6.2 shows)
Character Zero (9, 6.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (9, 8 shows)
Lonely Trip (9, 9.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.2 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 6.9 shows)
Plasma (8, 10.7 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.2 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (8, 7.4 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 8.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.8 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 11.4 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 6.9 shows)
Steam (8, 9.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.7 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 13.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9.7 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 8 shows)
Stash (7, 6.4 shows)
Light (6, 8 shows)
Mercury (6, 13.8 shows)
555 (6, 14.8 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 64% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.