Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-09-04, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Simple (12, 7.8 shows)
46 Days (12, 5.3 shows)
Everything's Right (11, 5.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (11, 7.8 shows)
First Tube (10, 6.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6 shows)
Lonely Trip (9, 8.9 shows)
Character Zero (9, 6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (9, 7.2 shows)
Maze (8, 7.2 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 18.7 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.5 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (8, 7.2 shows)
Cavern (7, 9.4 shows)
Plasma (7, 11 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 11.7 shows)
Steam (7, 9.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 13.4 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9.4 shows)
Shade (7, 12.5 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.9 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.5 shows)
More (6, 8.9 shows)
Wilson (6, 11.7 shows)
555 (6, 14.4 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.7 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 13.4 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (6, 18.7 shows)
The Lizards (6, 18.7 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.5 shows)
The Wedge (6, 11.7 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 14.4 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (5, 9.8 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (5, 9.4 shows)
Martian Monster (5, 15.6 shows)
Rift (5, 11.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 65% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.