Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-09-01, Dick's Sporting Goods Park were:
Sigma Oasis (16, 5.2 shows)
Tweezer (15, 6.7 shows)
Sand (14, 5.1 shows)
Free (13, 5.5 shows)
Carini (12, 5.8 shows)
Harry Hood (11, 5.2 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (11, 5.2 shows)
Tube (11, 6 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (11, 6.2 shows)
Down with Disease (10, 6.2 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (9, 8 shows)
Character Zero (9, 6.2 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 6.4 shows)
Steam (8, 9.7 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (8, 7.4 shows)
Prince Caspian (8, 8.8 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (8, 6.9 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (8, 6 shows)
Plasma (8, 10.7 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.2 shows)
Piper (8, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (8, 8.4 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 6.9 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 13.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (7, 8.4 shows)
Stash (7, 6.4 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 7.7 shows)
Mercury (6, 13.8 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 14.8 shows)
Light (6, 8 shows)
555 (6, 14.8 shows)
The Wedge (6, 12.1 shows)
Ruby Waves (6, 7.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 35% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.