Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-10, Budweiser Stage were:
Everything's Right (13, 5.5 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (12, 6.1 shows)
Blaze On (12, 5.3 shows)
Possum (11, 5.9 shows)
Lonely Trip (10, 8.8 shows)
Piper (10, 7 shows)
Twist (10, 6.3 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (9, 11.9 shows)
Maze (9, 7.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (9, 8.8 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.1 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (8, 16.8 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 11.2 shows)
Reba (8, 8.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.5 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.6 shows)
Shade (7, 12.6 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 10.6 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (7, 8.1 shows)
Bug (7, 11.2 shows)
Steam (7, 10.1 shows)
Stash (7, 6.5 shows)
The Wedge (7, 11.9 shows)
The Howling (6, 10.1 shows)
Rift (6, 11.2 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (6, 13.5 shows)
About to Run (6, 11.9 shows)
Divided Sky (6, 11.9 shows)
Light (6, 8.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 14.4 shows)
Meat (6, 20.2 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (6, 9.6 shows)
The Lizards (6, 18.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 14.4 shows)
Leaves (5, 15.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 32% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.