Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-07, Atlantic City Beach were:
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (12, 6.2 shows)
Blaze On (12, 5.4 shows)
Tube (12, 6 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 7.5 shows)
First Tube (11, 6.2 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.8 shows)
Piper (10, 7 shows)
Lonely Trip (10, 9.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 8.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8.1 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (9, 12.4 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.9 shows)
Maze (9, 7.3 shows)
Cavern (8, 10 shows)
Steam (8, 10 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 8.1 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.4 shows)
Reba (8, 8.4 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.4 shows)
The Wedge (7, 11.7 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 7.8 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 13.2 shows)
Shade (7, 13.2 shows)
The Lizards (7, 17.6 shows)
A Wave of Hope (7, 6.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9.6 shows)
What's the Use? (7, 10.6 shows)
About to Run (6, 11.7 shows)
Waste (6, 13.2 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 14.1 shows)
Llama (6, 13.2 shows)
Light (6, 8.1 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.8 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 15.1 shows)
Mercury (6, 13.2 shows)
Meat (6, 19.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 69% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.