Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-06, Atlantic City Beach were:
Tweezer (16, 6.4 shows)
The Moma Dance (13, 5.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 6.1 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (12, 6.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 7.6 shows)
First Tube (11, 6.2 shows)
Simple (11, 8.2 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (10, 8.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 7.3 shows)
Character Zero (10, 6.1 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.9 shows)
Piper (10, 7.1 shows)
Lonely Trip (10, 9.2 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 8.5 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (9, 7.3 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 6.6 shows)
What's the Use? (9, 10.1 shows)
Maze (9, 7.3 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (9, 5.9 shows)
A Wave of Hope (8, 6.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 8.2 shows)
Steam (8, 10.1 shows)
The Wedge (7, 11.8 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.5 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 13.3 shows)
The Lizards (7, 17.7 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.6 shows)
Waste (6, 13.3 shows)
I Am Hydrogen (6, 15.1 shows)
Birds of a Feather (6, 14.1 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (6, 14.1 shows)
Mercury (6, 13.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (6, 15.1 shows)
Light (6, 8.2 shows)
Rift (6, 11.2 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.