Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-05, Atlantic City Beach were:
Sigma Oasis (16, 5.5 shows)
Sand (15, 5.1 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 5.2 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 5.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 6.1 shows)
The Moma Dance (13, 5.5 shows)
Simple (12, 8.2 shows)
First Tube (11, 6.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 7.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.9 shows)
Prince Caspian (10, 8.5 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 7.3 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (10, 8.5 shows)
Character Zero (10, 6.3 shows)
Piper (10, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.9 shows)
Lonely Trip (10, 9.3 shows)
Maze (9, 7.6 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 6.3 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (9, 7.3 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 17.8 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 8.2 shows)
The Wedge (8, 11.2 shows)
Steam (8, 10.1 shows)
The Lizards (7, 17.8 shows)
Plasma (7, 11.2 shows)
Fluffhead (7, 8.9 shows)
Wilson (7, 11.2 shows)
Rift (7, 11.2 shows)
Suzy Greenberg (7, 13.3 shows)
Mercury (6, 13.3 shows)
Llama (6, 13.3 shows)
Light (6, 8.5 shows)
Meat (6, 19.4 shows)
More (6, 9.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 53% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.