Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-03, Pine Knob Music Theatre were:
Carini (14, 5.6 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 5.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 6.1 shows)
Everything's Right (13, 5.5 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 5.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (13, 5.4 shows)
Twist (12, 6.1 shows)
Possum (11, 5.8 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 7.6 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.8 shows)
Piper (10, 7.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (10, 7.4 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 7.9 shows)
Lonely Trip (10, 9.3 shows)
Maze (9, 7.4 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 6.1 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (9, 7.4 shows)
The Wedge (8, 11.3 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (8, 16.5 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (8, 6.9 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.2 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 17.8 shows)
Steam (8, 10.2 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 10.7 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 8.2 shows)
Rift (7, 10.7 shows)
Wilson (7, 11.3 shows)
Plasma (7, 11.3 shows)
Stash (7, 6.3 shows)
Mercury (6, 13.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.7 shows)
Ruby Waves (6, 7.4 shows)
Light (6, 8.2 shows)
Waste (6, 13.4 shows)
Golden Age (6, 7.9 shows)
Bug (6, 11.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 64% of the actual 14-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.