Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-08-02, Blossom Music Center were:
46 Days (13, 5.4 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 5.2 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (13, 6.1 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 5.2 shows)
Free (13, 5.4 shows)
Everything's Right (13, 5.5 shows)
Twist (12, 6.1 shows)
Blaze On (12, 5.4 shows)
Tube (12, 6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 6 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (11, 7.2 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (11, 7.7 shows)
Lonely Trip (10, 9.3 shows)
Mike's Song (10, 8 shows)
Wolfman's Brother (10, 5.8 shows)
Down with Disease (9, 6.1 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (9, 6.7 shows)
Maze (9, 7.4 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (9, 7.4 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.8 shows)
Fluffhead (8, 8.3 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.3 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 10.8 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (8, 12.6 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (8, 8.3 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (8, 16.5 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 17.9 shows)
Plasma (7, 11.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 7.7 shows)
Rift (7, 10.8 shows)
Reba (7, 8.6 shows)
About to Run (7, 11.3 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 11.3 shows)
Bug (6, 11.3 shows)
Meat (6, 19.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 69% of the actual 16-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.