Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-07-31, Merriweather Post Pavilion were:
Tweezer (15, 6.4 shows)
Ghost (14, 4.9 shows)
Harry Hood (13, 5.3 shows)
Chalk Dust Torture (13, 5.3 shows)
Free (13, 5.4 shows)
Everything's Right (13, 5.5 shows)
Twist (13, 6 shows)
Bathtub Gin (12, 6 shows)
Tube (12, 6 shows)
Blaze On (12, 5.4 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (12, 6.2 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (11, 7.2 shows)
Lonely Trip (10, 9.4 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (9, 6.5 shows)
Split Open and Melt (9, 8 shows)
Maze (9, 7.4 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (9, 7.4 shows)
Cavern (8, 9.8 shows)
What's the Use? (8, 10.3 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (8, 12.7 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (8, 16.6 shows)
Back on the Train (8, 6 shows)
Soul Planet (8, 18 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (8, 10.8 shows)
Also Sprach Zarathustra (8, 6.4 shows)
Reba (8, 8.3 shows)
More (7, 9 shows)
Rift (7, 10.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (7, 9.4 shows)
Meat (7, 18 shows)
Divided Sky (7, 11.4 shows)
About to Run (7, 11.4 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (7, 7.7 shows)
Plasma (7, 11.4 shows)
A Wave of Hope (7, 6.8 shows)
555 (7, 13.5 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.