Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-04-23, Madison Square Garden were:
Weekapaug Groove (9, 7.3 shows)
Simple (8, 7.8 shows)
Piper (7, 7.1 shows)
Mike's Song (7, 7.8 shows)
First Tube (7, 6.3 shows)
Lonely Trip (7, 9.5 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (6, 15.6 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.5 shows)
Rift (6, 10.4 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 12.9 shows)
Cavern (6, 9.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 8.1 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (5, 6.8 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
The Lizards (5, 18.3 shows)
Meat (5, 18.3 shows)
The Wedge (5, 11 shows)
More (5, 9.1 shows)
Shade (5, 12.9 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 18.3 shows)
Steam (5, 10 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (5, 14.6 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 18.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (4, 8.4 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 8.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11.5 shows)
Golden Age (4, 7.8 shows)
Ruby Waves (4, 7.3 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 14.6 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
Waste (4, 12.9 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 36.5 shows)
Mr. Completely (4, 24.3 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.1 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 18.3 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 56% of the actual 18-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.