Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-04-22, Madison Square Garden were:
Tube (9, 5.9 shows)
Free (9, 5.3 shows)
Bathtub Gin (9, 6.1 shows)
Sand (9, 5 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (9, 6.1 shows)
Simple (8, 8.1 shows)
Piper (7, 7.1 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (7, 7.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.5 shows)
Back on the Train (6, 6.1 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 8.1 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (6, 15.6 shows)
Cavern (6, 9.5 shows)
Set Your Soul Free (6, 8.4 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 12.9 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
Meat (5, 18.3 shows)
More (5, 9.1 shows)
The Wedge (5, 11 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.5 shows)
The Lizards (5, 18.3 shows)
Steam (5, 10 shows)
What's the Use? (5, 10.4 shows)
Shade (5, 12.9 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 18.3 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 36.5 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
Funky Bitch (4, 14.6 shows)
Ruby Waves (4, 7.3 shows)
Ya Mar (4, 18.3 shows)
Birds of a Feather (4, 13.7 shows)
Fluffhead (4, 8.4 shows)
Mr. Completely (4, 24.3 shows)
AC/DC Bag (4, 11.5 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 18.3 shows)
Waste (4, 12.9 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 19-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.