Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2022-05-27, The Wharf Amphitheater were:
Carini (11, 5.6 shows)
Sigma Oasis (11, 5.3 shows)
Twist (10, 6.1 shows)
Blaze On (10, 5.2 shows)
The Moma Dance (10, 5.3 shows)
Slave to the Traffic Light (10, 5.9 shows)
Possum (8, 5.8 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (7, 10.4 shows)
Down with Disease (7, 6.1 shows)
I Never Needed You Like This Before (6, 15.6 shows)
Rift (6, 10.4 shows)
Runaway Jim (6, 9.5 shows)
Run Like an Antelope (6, 8.1 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (6, 12.9 shows)
Reba (6, 8.4 shows)
Cavern (6, 9.5 shows)
Meat (5, 18.3 shows)
Beneath a Sea of Stars Part 1 (5, 14.6 shows)
The Wedge (5, 11 shows)
Halley's Comet (5, 9.5 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (5, 7.8 shows)
Soul Planet (5, 18.3 shows)
Stash (5, 6.3 shows)
Steam (5, 10 shows)
The Lizards (5, 16.8 shows)
Shade (5, 12.9 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
Rise/Come Together (4, 36.5 shows)
Ruby Waves (4, 7.3 shows)
Farmhouse (4, 18.3 shows)
Golden Age (4, 7.8 shows)
Mountains in the Mist (4, 11.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (4, 9.1 shows)
Mr. Completely (4, 24.3 shows)
Waste (4, 12.9 shows)
My Friend, My Friend (4, 9.1 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 40% of the actual 20-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.