Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-10-20, Matthew Knight Arena were:
Tube (6, 5.9 shows)
Sand (6, 5 shows)
Harry Hood (6, 5.2 shows)
Ghost (6, 5 shows)
Free (5, 5.3 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 7.3 shows)
Character Zero (5, 6.1 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (5, 6.1 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.3 shows)
More (4, 9.1 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 7.8 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (4, 7.3 shows)
The Final Hurrah (4, 27.4 shows)
Scents and Subtle Sounds (4, 12.9 shows)
Piper (4, 7.1 shows)
Tweezer (3, 6.6 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.8 shows)
Party Time (3, 27.4 shows)
The Squirming Coil (3, 14.6 shows)
Waste (3, 12.9 shows)
Light (3, 8.1 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (3, 6.8 shows)
Rise/Come Together (3, 36.5 shows)
Fuego (3, 8.1 shows)
Fluffhead (3, 8.4 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 7.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.4 shows)
Golgi Apparatus (3, 12.9 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 11.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 6.8 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (3, 7.3 shows)
Cavern (3, 9.5 shows)
About to Run (3, 11.5 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 9.1 shows)
555 (3, 13.7 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (3, 13.7 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 20% of the actual 15-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.