Trey's Notebook
Based on the last year of data, the most likely songs to have been played at 2021-10-19, Matthew Knight Arena were:
Blaze On (5, 5.3 shows)
Twist (5, 6.1 shows)
Weekapaug Groove (5, 7.3 shows)
Say It To Me S.A.N.T.O.S. (5, 6.1 shows)
More (4, 9.1 shows)
Mike's Song (4, 7.8 shows)
Drift While You're Sleeping (4, 10.4 shows)
First Tube (4, 6.3 shows)
Runaway Jim (4, 9.5 shows)
Rift (4, 10.4 shows)
Backwards Down the Number Line (4, 7.3 shows)
Rise/Come Together (3, 36.5 shows)
Tweezer Reprise (3, 6.6 shows)
Lonely Trip (3, 9.5 shows)
Light (3, 8.1 shows)
Fuego (3, 8.1 shows)
Down with Disease (3, 6.1 shows)
Ruby Waves (3, 7.3 shows)
Fluffhead (3, 8.4 shows)
About to Run (3, 11.5 shows)
Theme From the Bottom (3, 7.3 shows)
You Enjoy Myself (3, 7.8 shows)
Ya Mar (3, 18.3 shows)
Split Open and Melt (3, 8.1 shows)
Stash (3, 6.3 shows)
Prince Caspian (3, 8.4 shows)
AC/DC Bag (3, 11.5 shows)
What's the Use? (3, 10.4 shows)
Waste (3, 12.9 shows)
A Life Beyond The Dream (3, 7.3 shows)
Cavern (3, 9.5 shows)
Tweezer (3, 6.4 shows)
No Men In No Man's Land (3, 6.8 shows)
Bouncing Around the Room (3, 9.1 shows)
Gotta Jibboo (3, 13.7 shows)
Party Time (3, 27.4 shows)
How did "Trey's Notebook" do? We properly anticipated 47% of the actual 17-song setlist. Songs in green were guessed correctly.
The number in parentheses is the number of times the song has been performed in the last year, followed by the average gap in the last year
Explain!
This data is generated using the following rules: first, we analyze the songs played in the last year. From there, we examine the most frequently played songs that have not appeared in the last 3 shows that count "for stats purposes." Those songs are then listed above. We also include the average show gap for each of these songs, which might help better explain the likelihood of a song's appearance.